Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.020249 0.021742 0.023294 0.025032 0.026925 0.028927 0.031206
2024-10-06 0.017563 0.019685 0.022006 0.024743 0.027890 0.031407 0.035650
2024-10-13 0.015743 0.018217 0.021028 0.024474 0.028607 0.033430 0.039522
2024-10-20 0.014226 0.016881 0.019988 0.023921 0.028798 0.034694 0.042431
2024-10-27 0.013400 0.016254 0.019685 0.024149 0.029856 0.036980 0.046660
2024-11-03 0.012618 0.015599 0.019265 0.024153 0.030572 0.038817 0.050376
2024-11-10 0.012077 0.015194 0.019108 0.024446 0.031634 0.041118 0.054816
2024-11-17 0.011373 0.014525 0.018555 0.024162 0.031879 0.042306 0.057770
2024-11-24 0.010818 0.014013 0.018167 0.024055 0.032329 0.043765 0.061164
2024-12-01 0.010242 0.013434 0.017651 0.023729 0.032434 0.044717 0.063853
2024-12-08 0.009852 0.013086 0.017421 0.023776 0.033051 0.046414 0.067736
2024-12-15 0.009375 0.012590 0.016959 0.023459 0.033108 0.047275 0.070372
2024-12-22 0.008871 0.012037 0.016395 0.022971 0.032892 0.047723 0.072414
2024-12-29 0.008485 0.011634 0.016024 0.022743 0.033046 0.048735 0.075416
2025-01-05 0.008127 0.011253 0.015663 0.022507 0.033167 0.049687 0.078369
2025-01-12 0.007718 0.010780 0.015148 0.022006 0.032841 0.049900 0.080077
2025-01-19 0.007536 0.010630 0.015099 0.022213 0.033635 0.051949 0.085060
2025-01-26 0.007310 0.010407 0.014927 0.022217 0.034096 0.053469 0.089213
2025-02-02 0.007167 0.010299 0.014924 0.022483 0.034991 0.055758 0.094904
2025-02-09 0.006901 0.009994 0.014605 0.022226 0.035001 0.056531 0.097857
2025-02-16 0.006689 0.009764 0.014393 0.022129 0.035270 0.057760 0.101745
2025-02-23 0.006443 0.009470 0.014070 0.021833 0.035181 0.058347 0.104435
2025-03-02 0.006288 0.009314 0.013954 0.021876 0.035676 0.059998 0.109312